Cardinals Rangers Game 5 Pick

I’m coming right back with the Cardinals as underdogs tonight in Game 5.  This time they have their ace on the mound.

2 unit play tonight…

St Louis Cardinals @ Texas Rangers – CARDINALS TO WIN (+115)

(Note: I’m risking 2 units to win 2.30 units)

Tonight we see the same pitching match up as we did in a St Louis Game 1 victory. Chris Carpenter is 3-0 this season over 4 starts, and the Cardinals have won all 4 times he’s been on the mound.  He has a 3.52 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and .235 opponents batting average.  In Game 1 Carpenter went 6 innings giving up 5 hits and 2 runs, which came from a 2 run Napoli homer.  C.J. Wilson is winless over his 4 starts this postseason with a 0-3 record, 7.17 ERA, 1.83 WHIP and .298 opponents batting average.  In Game 1 Wilson allowed 4 hits and 3 runs in 5.2 innings of work, where he also walked 6 batters.  He has walked 14 batters in just 21.1 innings of work this postseason.  The Cardinals have shown that they don’t mind playing on the road, taking one game in Texas already and winning 16 of their last 22 road games.  The Cardinals are 13-4 in their last 17 games as an underdog, and 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.  St Louis is 5-0 in Carpenter’s last 5 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 road starts.  Note that the Rangers have gone 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.  Chris Carpenter has been the better pitcher in this post-season by far, and I have him continuing his success tonight. We have value on the road team with the pitcher who has been better over the past month.  Take the Cardinals at +115.